Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000615 0.000657 0.000701 0.000749 0.000801 0.000855 0.000916
2025-11-09 0.000538 0.000596 0.000657 0.000729 0.000808 0.000895 0.000996
2025-11-16 0.000487 0.000555 0.000630 0.000720 0.000823 0.000939 0.001080
2025-11-23 0.000452 0.000529 0.000615 0.000721 0.000846 0.000991 0.001172
2025-11-30 0.000422 0.000504 0.000599 0.000718 0.000863 0.001034 0.001254
2025-12-07 0.000397 0.000484 0.000586 0.000716 0.000879 0.001076 0.001334
2025-12-14 0.000372 0.000461 0.000568 0.000707 0.000884 0.001103 0.001397
2025-12-21 0.000351 0.000441 0.000552 0.000699 0.000889 0.001129 0.001457
2025-12-28 0.000324 0.000414 0.000525 0.000675 0.000872 0.001125 0.001478
2026-01-04 0.000305 0.000394 0.000507 0.000661 0.000867 0.001136 0.001517
2026-01-11 0.000293 0.000383 0.000499 0.000660 0.000878 0.001168 0.001586
2026-01-18 0.000282 0.000374 0.000493 0.000661 0.000892 0.001203 0.001660
2026-01-25 0.000267 0.000359 0.000480 0.000652 0.000894 0.001225 0.001719
2026-02-01 0.000251 0.000341 0.000461 0.000636 0.000884 0.001230 0.001754
2026-02-08 0.000239 0.000329 0.000450 0.000629 0.000887 0.001253 0.001817
2026-02-15 0.000230 0.000321 0.000445 0.000630 0.000901 0.001291 0.001904
2026-02-22 0.000221 0.000312 0.000438 0.000627 0.000910 0.001323 0.001982
2026-03-01 0.000213 0.000304 0.000431 0.000626 0.000920 0.001356 0.002063
2026-03-08 0.000204 0.000294 0.000421 0.000618 0.000920 0.001374 0.002120
2026-03-15 0.000195 0.000284 0.000411 0.000611 0.000920 0.001391 0.002178
2026-03-22 0.000183 0.000269 0.000393 0.000590 0.000899 0.001374 0.002179
2026-03-29 0.000175 0.000259 0.000382 0.000578 0.000891 0.001377 0.002213
2026-04-05 0.000169 0.000253 0.000377 0.000577 0.000899 0.001407 0.002292